**xG**) is a predictive model used to assess every goal-scoring chance, and the likelihood of scoring. An

**xG**model computes for each chance the probability to score based on what we know about it (event-based variables).

So based on this:

- If each game was decided on xG, we would have finished top of the pile this season.
- Based on quality of chances conceded, we had the best defence in the league (the two teams above us and the one immediately below us in the real table were very lucky to concede as few as they did given the quality of chances given up).
- Barnsley are no joke.
- Swansea were lucky to be near the play-offs.
- Bristol City were dogshit.
- Rotherham were probably unlucky.