Opta Prediction

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Opta Prediction

It’s that time of the year again when Opta produce their predictions for this season. Clearly fancy us to be well clear again and with an outside chance of Europe
 

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Opta Prediction

cm_851 said:
It’s that time of the year again when Opta produce their predictions for this season. Clearly fancy us to be well clear again and with an outside chance of Europe
Click to expand...
Just my thoughts.

Palace to high, key player has gone with one or two more to leave. Expected change in the boardroom will affect as well.
West Ham - New manager, hate to say it but some good signings, expect them to do better than predicted.
Brighton - To much change. Is it 9 players out and in, with the new manager, even if they have brought gems they will not all settle within a few games, may finish stronger
Fulham - lost to many key players, will struggle
Everton - The only chance they have is the manger, he does know how to fight at the bottom and survive.
Muff - lost 40% of their goals, some how over performed last season.
Wolves - still selling, manager wont get what he did last season from the players.
Forest - do I need to say any more?
If one of the promoted 3 click and get a run, one of the two above will be struggling.
12th for the bees, we will perform better from November onwards after Thomas has had time with the new players and the two fullbacks are fully back
 

Opta Prediction

cm_851 said:
It’s that time of the year again when Opta produce their predictions for this season. Clearly fancy us to be well clear again and with an outside chance of Europe
Click to expand...
What have B'mouth got a couple of figures highlighted in green?
 

Opta Prediction

Palace won't finish 9th and certainly not above WHU. Everton could have more points deductions coming this season and have lost Onana so I think they'll be lower than 12th. For us if the signings all happen and we can keep Rico and Hickey fit we could be close to top 10 IMHO
 

Opta Prediction

cm_851 said:
It’s that time of the year again when Opta produce their predictions for this season. Clearly fancy us to be well clear again and with an outside chance of Europe
Click to expand...
Nice to see that on paper we're again expected to remain an established Premier League team.

Feel that a couple of the signings we've recently might give us that wildcard factor.

I'm hoping for a season of giving some of the so-called "big teams" a bloody nose, going on a cup run, and muscling our way into the top half.
 

Opta Prediction

There’s a number of teams that’ve had wholesale changes with new coaches and players. There’s be a lot of churn in the first couple of months and, while our games in that period don’t bode well, the continuity will help us as we introduce new players to improve.

I’m cautiously optimistic of finishing higher than the prediction… injuries permitting!
 

Opta Prediction

cm_851 said:
It’s that time of the year again when Opta produce their predictions for this season. Clearly fancy us to be well clear again and with an outside chance of Europe
Click to expand...
Thanks. The full table is here

theanalyst.com

Premier League Predictions 2024-25: The Opta Projections | Opta Analyst

The Opta supercomputer Premier League predictions for 2024-25 are here. We look at who is the most likely to win the title, and much more.
theanalyst.com theanalyst.com

The most likely four place range is 12th - 15th which probably lines up with many people's expectations of what a par season would look like after the last three.
10.0% chance of relegation, 13.9% chance of top 8.
 

Opta Prediction

Too conservative for the Bees. My calculations point to 8th place and Carabao Cup bagged early on to compensate for missing out on Europe in the league.
 

Opta Prediction

If we can sort out the defence (and that means the whole team defending properly not just getting the full-backs back) then with these new signings I'm pretty optimistic we can do better than many expect. That's a bit of a big IF though as we were dire under balls into the box last year too (and often it wasn't just the lack of a full-back to excuse it).
 

Opta Prediction

I think Liverpool at 7/1 are a decent price to win the league and could surprise people this year. Not that I think they WILL but the value bet.
 

Opta Prediction

IMG_8351.png

9.9% chance of relegation!

Wolves more than twice as likely to go down as things stand, interesting!

Just need to keep our noses ahead as many of those listed above as possible throughout the season.
 

Opta Prediction

BFC1997 said:
View attachment 49025

9.9% chance of relegation!

Wolves more than twice as likely to go down as things stand, interesting!

Just need to keep our noses ahead as many of those listed above as possible throughout the season.
Click to expand...
Wolves are an interesting one - they have lost more players and had a small squad last season so they could well be down there as I think they outperformed last season.
 

Opta Prediction

Gazza Bee said:
Wolves are an interesting one - they have lost more players and had a small squad last season so they could well be down there as I think they outperformed last season.
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No complaints if Wolves drop. O’Neil is a proper whinging throbber and for all their complaints about our alleged time wasting, I’ve never seen a bigger display of cheating than that Wolves did in the FA Cup against Coventry.
 

Opta Prediction

Untouchable said:
No complaints if Wolves drop. O’Neil is a proper whinging throbber and for all their complaints about our alleged time wasting, I’ve never seen a bigger display of cheating than that Wolves did in the FA Cup against Coventry.
Click to expand...
Nothing would please me more than that smug git getting relegated - 90% of his press was filled with complaints about injuries and small squad and bad decisions against his team. One of my football hates - whisper it quietly but I'd take Fulham staying up over them...
 

Opta Prediction

Edmundo said:
How do Opta calculate these predictions? Do they account for squad / coaching changes since last season?
Click to expand...
89.27% of all statistics are made up on the spot.

Far better to read the tea leaves and/or chicken entrails ??

Opta used to slay virgins on an altar to appease the footballing gods and gain insight to their biases, however since Opta moved their HQ to Feltham they cant find any local suitable stock, so have had to cancell this arrangement.
 

Opta Prediction

Gazza Bee said:
Nothing would please me more than that smug git getting relegated - 90% of his press was filled with complaints about injuries and small squad and bad decisions against his team. One of my football hates - whisper it quietly but I'd take Fulham staying up over them...
Click to expand...
Shut up ?
 

Opta Prediction

Interestingly a lot of “fan” predictions this year have us bottom three.

But the bookies and Opta have us a lot more comfortable.

The perception of our level is skewed by many based on last year with a very ridiculous injury record.

I think even Brentford fans might be surprised at how good we will show ourselves to be this season (maybe and especially once we get Henry and/or Hickey back)
 
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Opta Prediction

kaebess said:
Just my thoughts.

Palace to high, key player has gone with one or two more to leave. Expected change in the boardroom will affect as well.
West Ham - New manager, hate to say it but some good signings, expect them to do better than predicted.
Brighton - To much change. Is it 9 players out and in, with the new manager, even if they have brought gems they will not all settle within a few games, may finish stronger
Fulham - lost to many key players, will struggle
Everton - The only chance they have is the manger, he does know how to fight at the bottom and survive.
Click to expand...

kaebess said:
Muff - lost 40% of their goals, some how over performed last season.
Wolves - still selling, manager wont get what he did last season from the players.
Forest - do I need to say any more?
If one of the promoted 3 click and get a run, one of the two above will be struggling.
12th for the bees, we will perform better from November onwards after Thomas has had time with the new players and the two fullbacks are fully back
Click to expand...
 

Opta Prediction

LongLostBee said:
I think Liverpool at 7/1 are a decent price to win the league and could surprise people this year. Not that I think they WILL but the value bet.
Click to expand...
Especially if City get a points deduction! Could easily turn into a 2 horse race with Arsenal
 

Opta Prediction

Good post and I agree that we do better than most people expect, well that’s my hope. Looks a stronger squad then last season and with better luck with injuries should finish top half.
 

Opta Prediction

Man City’s odd of finishing first are just ridiculous.
 

Opta Prediction

BFC1997 said:
Interestingly a lot of “fan” predictions this year have us bottom three.

But the bookies and Opta have us a lot more comfortable.

The perception of our level is skewed by many based on last year with a very ridiculous injury record.

I think even Brentford fans might be surprised at how good we will show ourselves to be this season (maybe and especially once we get Henry and/or Hickey back)
Click to expand...
I see that as well. I put it purely down to them thinking with Toney going we will collapse.
 

Opta Prediction

Silly Chip said:
The BBC has predicted us in 17th place.
www.bbc.co.uk

Premier League predictions: Who will finish where in 2024-25?

The new Premier League season starts on Friday - BBC Sport chief football writer Phil McNulty and BBC Sport fan writers predict who will finish where.
www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
Click to expand...
Just read this. Bit disappointing from McNulty with main focus on the Ivan will he / won't he question. Still I'd happily be tipped to struggle whilst we progress under the radar and push for Europe.
 

Opta Prediction

Silly Chip said:
The BBC has predicted us in 17th place.
www.bbc.co.uk

Premier League predictions: Who will finish where in 2024-25?

The new Premier League season starts on Friday - BBC Sport chief football writer Phil McNulty and BBC Sport fan writers predict who will finish where.
www.bbc.co.uk www.bbc.co.uk
Click to expand...
Though their Bees correspondent, Ian Westbrook (of this Parish?) has this:
"Twelfth. The strength of Brentford's forward line - even without Igor Thiago for now and if Ivan Toney leaves - should ensure a comfortable 12th-place finish. My overall hopes are for a largely injury-free campaign and a good cup run."
 

Opta Prediction

How on earth have Chelski got so high!
Reckon the Spuds are going to be considerably stronger having looked at their strength in depth.
United are going to do well to be that high too.

Ignoring any City points deduction I reckon:
1. Arsenal
2. Man City
3. Liverpool
4. Tottenham
5. Newcastle
6. Chelsea
7. Villa
8. West Ham
9. Man Utd
10. Brighton
11. Brentford
12. Fulham
13. Wolves
14. Everton
15. Forest
16. Palace
17. Bournemouth
18. Leicester
19. Ipswich
20. Southampton

1723803663792.png
 

Opta Prediction

BFC1997 said:
Interestingly a lot of “fan” predictions this year have us bottom three.

But the bookies and Opta have us a lot more comfortable.

The perception of our level is skewed by many based on last year with a very ridiculous injury record.

I think even Brentford fans might be surprised at how good we will show ourselves to be this season (maybe and especially once we get Henry and/or Hickey back)
Click to expand...
We're still seen as "little Brentford" by majority of fans of other PL teams. Only now are they taking Brighton seriously.

I'm happy still going under the radar. We are better than 6-8 teams in this league, foundations of squad are solid, consistency with manager and team still not reached it's potential should be a comfortable ride to mid table.
 

Opta Prediction

Untouchable said:
No complaints if Wolves drop. O’Neil is a proper whinging throbber and for all their complaints about our alleged time wasting, I’ve never seen a bigger display of cheating than that Wolves did in the FA Cup against Coventry.
Click to expand...
That was great when it came back to gloriously kick 'em up the arse.
 

Opta Prediction

Opta Prediction

I think we’ll do well. Between 9-14. Hard to predict anything else, the midfield is very competitive.

I posted elsewhere, but this is my table:

City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Man U
Villa
Newcastle
Chelsea
Tottenham
Wet spam
Brentford
Brighton
Palace
Everton
Wolves
Fulham
Bournemouth
Ipswich
Forest
Southampton
Leicester
 

Opta Prediction

Banana said:
Correct, unless they win the League Cup.
Click to expand...
So all teams still in the League Cup have a non-zero chance. Plus, all have a chance of qualification based on league position if the League Cup winners are already UCL/UEL qualified.
 

Opta Prediction

I wonder, does this current projection factor in the return of Wissa, Thiago, Nunes, Jensen and Henry, to name but a few!
 
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